Bitcoin Price Analysis: 28 February

Bitcoin registered a low of $43,810 a few hours prior to the time of writing. The $44k-$45k has been a region of demand for BTC over the past week. Interestingly, a Bitcoin on-chain analyst noted that $45k and above is a strong area of support- but from a technical perspective, a drop below $43,800 can not yet be discounted.

Bitcoin 1-day chart

Bitcoin Price Analysis: 28 February

Source: BTC/USD on TradingView

In the long-term, Bitcoin remains quite bullish. The pullback over the past week that has seen so much emotion on social media has not even tested the 50% retracement level according to the Fibonacci Retracement tool.

Going back to January, a range from $30k to $41k was seen- and BTC broke out with strong momentum past that to reach $58,200.

Hence, any further dips toward $40,193 are meant for buying – a drop below $36,800 is the case if a deeper correction for Bitcoin happens. However, there was no evidence yet for that development. On-chain metrics showed that sentiment was not as strongly bearish as it was in January when the price dipped to $30,600.

Rationale

The technical developments over the past few days were interesting- a 25% correction (and possibly further) to the downside and a funding rate reset from above 0.1% to 0.02% showed that this was a healthy correction and not quite a reversal in the long-term trend for BTC.

A region of former demand in the $52k area was flipped into one of supply, and the $48,900 mark has also been retested as a level of resistance. The 38.2% and the 50% levels at $43,892 and $40,193 represent areas of interest for buyers. The former range highs at $41,000 also represent an area of interest.

The RSI was at 48 while the Awesome Oscillator formed a series of bearish bars to denote waning upward momentum. The OBV was also moving lower to show that selling volume was high over the past few days, but its general trend over the past few weeks has been steadily upward.

Conclusion

The bottom for Bitcoin might not be in yet and market sentiment still appears to favor the bears in the short-term. However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin looks promising and traders should be in the “buy-the-dip” mode.


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